Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.0%
Celta
28.6%
Draw
34.4%
Ath Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Celta
vs
1.15
Ath Madrid
Markets
BTTS47.9%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
11.2%
0-1
10.7%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).