Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.5%
Cosenza
33.3%
Draw
35.2%
Sampdoria
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Cosenza
vs
1.05
Sampdoria
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.561.4%
Over 2.533.0%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.9%
0-0
14.5%
0-1
12.5%
1-0
11.6%
0-2
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).