Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.1%
Eldense
30.1%
Draw
30.8%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Eldense
vs
0.94
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS40.5%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.560.3%
Over 2.533.4%
Over 3.515.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
12.9%
0-1
12.4%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).