Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.1%
AFC Wimbledon
22.6%
Draw
45.3%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
AFC Wimbledon
vs
1.60
Oxford
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.532.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.0%
2-2
5.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
0-0
4.6%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).