Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.5%
Middlesbrough
21.1%
Draw
11.4%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Middlesbrough
vs
0.73
Reading
Markets
BTTS45.9%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.0%
1-0
11.9%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
8.9%
0-0
7.0%
3-1
6.5%
4-0
4.6%
0-1
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).