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DHT: 11CSV

01 Apr 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.4%
Wycombe
23.3%
Draw
18.3%
Milton Keynes Dons

Expected Goals (xG)

1.57

Wycombe

vs
0.73

Milton Keynes Dons

Markets

BTTS40.3%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.520.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.6%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
9.0%
0-1
8.3%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.3%
0-2
2.7%
4-0
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).