Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.1%
Bielefeld
32.3%
Draw
42.6%
Mainz
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Bielefeld
vs
1.15
Mainz
Markets
BTTS39.2%
Over 0.585.2%
Over 1.559.6%
Over 2.531.6%
Over 3.513.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.1%
0-0
14.8%
1-1
14.0%
1-0
10.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
5.4%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.6%
2-2
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).