Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.2%
Newport County
25.6%
Draw
34.2%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Newport County
vs
1.21
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
11.0%
0-1
10.0%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
0-0
7.3%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).