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DHT: 01CSV

30 Aug 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.3%
Ayr
24.8%
Draw
17.8%
Queens Park

Expected Goals (xG)

1.96

Ayr

vs
1.03

Queens Park

Markets

BTTS57.0%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.535.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
1-0
8.2%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
6.5%
3-0
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
0-1
3.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).