Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.7%
M'gladbach
28.6%
Draw
31.7%
Union Berlin
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
M'gladbach
vs
1.18
Union Berlin
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
9.8%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).