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DHT: 11CSV

01 Jan 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.5%
Forest Green
29.0%
Draw
50.5%
AFC Wimbledon

Expected Goals (xG)

0.67

Forest Green

vs
1.24

AFC Wimbledon

Markets

BTTS34.1%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.556.3%
Over 2.529.8%
Over 3.512.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
18.9%
0-0
14.4%
1-1
11.8%
0-2
11.4%
1-0
10.4%
1-2
7.6%
0-3
4.7%
2-1
4.1%
2-0
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-2
2.5%
0-4
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).