Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.2%
Everton
30.6%
Draw
33.2%
Liverpool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Everton
vs
1.22
Liverpool
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
10.0%
1-0
8.8%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).