Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.4%
Lazio
26.1%
Draw
23.5%
Torino
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Lazio
vs
0.90
Torino
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
10.0%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).