Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.2%
Werder Bremen
25.1%
Draw
32.7%
Wolfsburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Werder Bremen
vs
1.46
Wolfsburg
Markets
BTTS63.4%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.538.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-2
6.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-0
6.1%
0-1
5.5%
0-0
5.1%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
3-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).