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21 Sept 2024 · 18:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.7%
Górnik Zabrze
30.0%
Draw
34.3%
Katowice

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Górnik Zabrze

vs
1.18

Katowice

Markets

BTTS49.8%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.522.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.2%
0-0
10.3%
1-0
9.9%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
3.0%
3-0
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).