Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.0%
Burton
23.2%
Draw
42.8%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Burton
vs
1.49
Reading
Markets
BTTS55.2%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
0-1
10.2%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.9%
2-2
5.7%
0-0
5.2%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.4%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).