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20 Feb 2026 · 13:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.8%
Veres
21.6%
Draw
15.6%
Poltava

Expected Goals (xG)

1.97

Veres

vs
0.87

Poltava

Markets

BTTS50.4%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.3%
1-0
11.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
6.1%
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
4-0
3.7%
4-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).