Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.9%
Exeter
27.3%
Draw
24.9%
Crewe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Exeter
vs
0.86
Crewe
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
10.8%
0-1
10.2%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.2%
3-1
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).