Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.6%
Benevento
30.9%
Draw
25.5%
Padova
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Benevento
vs
0.93
Padova
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.518.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
1-0
12.7%
0-0
12.1%
2-0
9.1%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).