Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.2%
Northampton
24.4%
Draw
42.4%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Northampton
vs
1.37
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS50.6%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.8%
1-1
11.6%
1-0
10.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.3%
0-0
6.7%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).