Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.5%
Almeria
25.0%
Draw
35.5%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Almeria
vs
1.36
Elche
Markets
BTTS56.7%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.530.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-0
6.3%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
5.8%
0-2
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).