Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.5%
Spal
29.3%
Draw
41.2%
Como
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Spal
vs
1.37
Como
Markets
BTTS51.6%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-1
10.1%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.0%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).