Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.5%
Shepshed Dynamo
34.1%
Draw
29.3%
Bourne Town
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Shepshed Dynamo
vs
0.75
Bourne Town
Markets
BTTS30.2%
Over 0.580.6%
Over 1.547.7%
Over 2.522.2%
Over 3.58.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
19.4%
1-0
17.7%
0-1
15.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
7.5%
2-1
5.6%
0-2
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
3-0
2.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-1
1.6%
0-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).