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AHT: 11CSV

29 Dec 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.0%
Crawley Town
21.4%
Draw
60.6%
Bromley

Expected Goals (xG)

0.90

Crawley Town

vs
1.87

Bromley

Markets

BTTS49.6%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.530.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.2%
0-2
11.0%
1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
0-3
6.8%
1-3
6.1%
1-0
6.1%
0-0
5.9%
2-1
4.7%
2-2
4.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-4
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).