Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.4%
Sevilla
31.6%
Draw
30.0%
Getafe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Sevilla
vs
0.92
Getafe
Markets
BTTS40.2%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.559.9%
Over 2.532.4%
Over 3.514.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
0-0
14.0%
1-1
13.9%
0-1
12.0%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).