Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.9%
Stockport
26.4%
Draw
22.7%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Stockport
vs
0.77
Exeter
Markets
BTTS38.3%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.560.8%
Over 2.534.8%
Over 3.516.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.4%
1-1
11.5%
0-0
11.3%
2-0
10.8%
0-1
10.5%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
4.8%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
0-2
3.6%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).