Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.4%
Metz
17.2%
Draw
64.4%
Rennes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Metz
vs
2.49
Rennes
Markets
BTTS65.6%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.588.5%
Over 2.572.5%
Over 3.551.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.2%
1-3
7.6%
0-2
7.2%
1-1
6.9%
0-1
6.2%
0-3
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
2-3
4.8%
1-4
4.7%
2-1
4.7%
0-4
3.7%
1-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).