Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.0%
Swansea
31.3%
Draw
31.7%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Swansea
vs
1.05
Brentford
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.518.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
12.2%
1-0
11.6%
0-1
10.5%
2-1
7.7%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
3.0%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).