Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.6%
Guimaraes
23.8%
Draw
63.6%
Porto
Expected Goals (xG)
0.53
Guimaraes
vs
1.58
Porto
Markets
BTTS32.1%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.535.1%
Over 3.516.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.7%
0-2
15.1%
0-0
11.8%
1-1
9.7%
1-2
8.0%
0-3
7.9%
1-0
6.9%
1-3
4.2%
0-4
3.1%
2-1
2.7%
2-2
2.1%
2-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).