Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.9%
Eibar
26.0%
Draw
19.1%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Eibar
vs
0.76
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS41.2%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.519.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
11.7%
0-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.1%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.4%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).