Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.4%
Forest Green
24.8%
Draw
20.8%
Boston Utd
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Forest Green
vs
1.05
Boston Utd
Markets
BTTS55.2%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.532.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-0
9.4%
0-0
6.7%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.7%
2-2
5.2%
0-1
5.1%
0-2
3.1%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).