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24 Aug 2024 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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61.2%
FC Koln
25.1%
Draw
13.7%
Braunschweig

Expected Goals (xG)

1.75

FC Koln

vs
0.71

Braunschweig

Markets

BTTS43.0%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.0%
2-0
13.1%
1-1
11.7%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
4-0
3.3%
2-2
3.3%
4-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).