Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.1%
Crawley Town
18.4%
Draw
60.5%
Roma
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Crawley Town
vs
2.42
Roma
Markets
BTTS68.1%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.589.0%
Over 2.573.2%
Over 3.552.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.0%
1-3
7.3%
1-1
7.2%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
0-1
5.6%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
5.2%
2-3
5.0%
1-4
4.4%
1-0
3.3%
0-4
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).