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HHT: 20CSV

07 Mar 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.7%
Wealdstone
23.6%
Draw
17.7%
Maidstone

Expected Goals (xG)

1.92

Wealdstone

vs
0.97

Maidstone

Markets

BTTS53.8%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.532.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.2%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.8%
3-0
6.6%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.8%
0-1
4.5%
4-0
3.1%
3-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).