Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.3%
Nott'm Forest
26.7%
Draw
13.1%
Blackburn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Nott'm Forest
vs
0.59
Blackburn
Markets
BTTS36.0%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.517.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.4%
2-0
14.2%
0-0
12.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-0
7.4%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
4-0
2.9%
2-2
2.5%
0-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).