Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.1%
Aldershot
22.7%
Draw
28.2%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.06
Aldershot
vs
1.54
Sutton
Markets
BTTS69.3%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.569.7%
Over 3.548.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
2-0
5.8%
1-0
4.9%
3-2
4.7%
3-0
4.0%
2-3
3.5%
0-1
3.5%
0-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).