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16 Aug 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.5%
Man United
26.0%
Draw
13.4%
Broxbourne Borough V&E

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

Man United

vs
0.51

Broxbourne Borough V&E

Markets

BTTS30.4%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.558.0%
Over 2.531.3%
Over 3.513.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
20.7%
2-0
14.7%
0-0
13.8%
1-1
10.1%
0-1
7.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
4-0
2.6%
2-2
1.9%
0-2
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).