Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.5%
Chievo
26.9%
Draw
21.6%
Empoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Chievo
vs
0.99
Empoli
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.4%
0-1
6.0%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).