Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →5.2%
Plymouth
9.4%
Draw
85.4%
Bury
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Plymouth
vs
3.28
Bury
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.590.8%
Over 2.576.4%
Over 3.557.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3
10.5%
0-2
9.7%
0-4
8.6%
1-3
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
1-4
6.4%
0-1
6.0%
0-5
5.7%
1-1
4.2%
1-5
4.2%
2-3
2.9%
2-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).