Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.5%
Mechelen
28.0%
Draw
56.5%
St. Gilloise
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64
Mechelen
vs
1.46
St. Gilloise
Markets
BTTS36.8%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.562.6%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.516.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.3%
0-2
13.1%
0-0
12.9%
1-1
12.1%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
7.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-1
3.6%
2-2
2.7%
2-0
2.5%
0-4
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).