Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.3%
Catanzaro
22.5%
Draw
14.2%
Bari
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Catanzaro
vs
0.86
Bari
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.532.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.5%
1-1
10.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.7%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
6.6%
2-2
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
0-1
3.9%
4-0
3.9%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).