Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.7%
Auxerre
30.9%
Draw
28.3%
Paris FC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Auxerre
vs
0.79
Paris FC
Markets
BTTS34.3%
Over 0.584.4%
Over 1.553.4%
Over 2.527.3%
Over 3.511.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.4%
0-0
15.6%
0-1
13.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
0-2
5.1%
3-0
2.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-1
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).