⚽ FootballData
1 – 1
DHT: 11CSV

15 Oct 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
11.3%
Montrose
16.3%
Draw
72.5%
Falkirk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.01

Montrose

vs
2.69

Falkirk

Markets

BTTS59.7%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.588.8%
Over 2.571.5%
Over 3.550.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.0%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
8.1%
0-3
8.0%
1-1
7.2%
0-1
6.2%
1-4
5.5%
0-4
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
2-3
4.1%
2-1
3.4%
1-5
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).