Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.8%
Man United
25.8%
Draw
31.4%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Man United
vs
1.49
Brentford
Markets
BTTS65.5%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.540.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.6%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
6.0%
1-0
5.4%
0-0
5.3%
3-1
5.3%
0-1
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).