Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.5%
Vitória Guimarães
21.5%
Draw
66.0%
Benfica
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Vitória Guimarães
vs
2.03
Benfica
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.6%
0-1
11.7%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.6%
0-3
8.5%
0-0
6.9%
1-3
6.5%
0-4
4.3%
1-0
4.0%
2-2
3.7%
2-1
3.7%
1-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).