Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.4%
Lincoln
16.3%
Draw
12.3%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
Lincoln
vs
0.80
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.559.3%
Over 3.536.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.0%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
9.1%
1-1
7.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-0
5.2%
0-1
4.4%
4-1
4.1%
0-0
3.9%
2-2
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).