Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.9%
Dunston
26.5%
Draw
37.6%
Gainsborough Trinity
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Dunston
vs
1.25
Gainsborough Trinity
Markets
BTTS49.6%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
0-1
11.1%
1-0
10.8%
0-0
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).