Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.8%
Modena
30.6%
Draw
18.5%
Juve Stabia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Modena
vs
0.71
Juve Stabia
Markets
BTTS39.0%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.534.0%
Over 3.515.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.9%
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-0
11.6%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
7.9%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
3-1
3.7%
0-2
3.2%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).