Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.8%
Cittadella
27.0%
Draw
57.3%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Cittadella
vs
1.61
Parma
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.3%
1-1
12.4%
0-2
12.4%
0-0
10.7%
1-2
9.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-0
5.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-1
4.2%
2-2
3.4%
0-4
2.7%
2-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).