Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.5%
Krylya Sovetov
29.3%
Draw
10.2%
Fakel
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Krylya Sovetov
vs
0.44
Fakel
Markets
BTTS28.0%
Over 0.583.2%
Over 1.556.4%
Over 2.528.4%
Over 3.511.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
21.0%
0-0
16.8%
2-0
15.7%
1-1
10.9%
3-0
7.4%
2-1
6.9%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-0
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-2
1.5%
0-2
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).